blitzman at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-4-0 Field 55

Rating after 1,532

-29

Rating before 1,561 RD 95

Rating after 1,532 RD 91

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,320

Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1561 → Swiss 1532 -28.8

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Mark Fichtel 0

CoolBowTiesAre 0

CannedIce 2

marshhhh 0

Gold630 2

vakarian 1

JElliot 2

Semifinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

CannedIce 0

Gold630 2

JElliot 0

Finals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Gold630 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 -28.8 1.0× +0.0 -28.8 1532

Total 2-4-0 -28.8 1532

Biggest upset Beat jabbavert 1500 at 55% odds / surprise +0.45

Costliest loss Lost to Seth Oster 1356 at 66% odds / surprise -0.66 /

Matches (6)

R1 jkfman101 Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 CT99AlexanderS Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R3 jabbavert Win 2-0 1.0× +13.0 Swiss

R4 Seth Oster Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 66% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 184, true skill could span ±367).

R5 Thax80 Win 2-1 1.0× +9.1 Swiss

R6 Nick5021 Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 55% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.