_ODIN_WAN_KENOBI_ at Planetary Qualifier Yuma

melee.gg
Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 4-3-0 Field 43
Rating after 1,643
+143
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,643 RD 172
Effective multiplier 0.96× weighted avg
Performance 1,709 vs field +134
Field strength Mean 1,575 · Median 1,552 · 42 rated 46th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +170.1 1.0× +0.0 +170.1 1670
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -51.6 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +9.3 -42.3 1622
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 43 +15.0 1637
Total 4-3-0 +142.9 1643
Biggest upset Beat CBG_Taylor 1695 at 34% odds / surprise +0.66
Costliest loss Lost to llopez101 1563 at 59% odds / surprise -0.59 / +176 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1695 CBG_Taylor Win 34% 2-0 1.0× +120.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 34% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R2 1631~ CaptainFTB Win 39% 2-1 1.0× +108.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 39% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).
R3 1557~ ShazamPowers Win 45% 2-0 1.0× +97.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 45% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).
R4 1563~ llopez101 Loss 45% 1-2 1.0× -79.8 Swiss
R5 1827~ CheeseKahuna Loss 25% 0-2 1.0× -46.6 Swiss
R6 1500~ Tommycallahan123 Win 50% 2-1 1.0× +85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
QF 1563~ llopez101 Loss 59% 1-2 0.82× -65.4 Top Cut
Glicko-2 predicted 59% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).
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