YubDubberson at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-2-0 Field 55

Rating after 1,617

+29

Rating before 1,589 RD 103

Rating after 1,617 RD 97

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,808

Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1589 → Swiss 1617 +28.6

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Mark Fichtel 0

CoolBowTiesAre 0

CannedIce 2

marshhhh 0

Gold630 2

vakarian 1

JElliot 2

Semifinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

CannedIce 0

Gold630 2

JElliot 0

Finals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Gold630 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +28.6 1.0× +0.0 +28.6 1617

Total 4-2-0 +28.6 1617

Biggest upset Beat ominousquash 1741 at 37% odds / surprise +0.63

Costliest loss Lost to vakarian 1507 at 57% odds / surprise -0.57 /

Matches (6)

R1 Thax80 Win 2-0 1.0× +9.9 Swiss

R2 anglon Win 2-0 1.0× +14.3 Swiss

R3 darkzepher Win 2-0 1.0× +16.8 Swiss

R4 vakarian Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 57% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R5 Gungang_Istvan Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R6 ominousquash Win 2-0 1.0× +22.2 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 37% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 135, true skill could span ±270).