XLNordic at Planetary Qualifier Groton

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-4-0 Field 69
Rating after 1,468
-30
Rating before 1,499 RD 89
Rating after 1,468 RD 85
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,266 vs field -304
Field strength Mean 1,570 · Median 1,540 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-4 -30.2 1.0× +0.0 -30.2 1468
Total 3-4-0 -30.2 1468
Biggest upset Beat QuiGonVin 1362 at 61% odds / surprise +0.39
Costliest loss Lost to AllenP66 1242 at 71% odds / surprise -0.71 / +28 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1801 TH_Lowercase Loss 26% 0-2 1.0× -7.3 Swiss
R2 1157 Buberry Win 76% 2-0 1.0× +6.6 Swiss
R3 1490~ SoloAndChewie Loss 51% 0-2 1.0× -13.4 Swiss
R4 1258 YarnSolo_Liz Loss 69% 0-2 1.0× -19.2 Swiss
R5 1242 AllenP66 Loss 71% 1-2 1.0× -19.6 Swiss
R6 1362~ QuiGonVin Win 61% 2-0 1.0× +10.5 Swiss
R7 1268 dredged14 Win 69% 2-0 1.0× +8.6 Swiss
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