Wosho at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 2-3-0 Field 63
Rating after 1,483
+2
Rating before 1,481 RD 141
Rating after 1,483 RD 129
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,494 vs field -100
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 2-3 +2.0 1.0× +0.0 +2.0 1483
Total 2-3-0 +2.0 1483
Biggest upset Beat Grzegorz_J 1657 at 36% odds / surprise +0.64
Costliest loss Lost to tomszu 1346 at 61% odds / surprise -0.61 / +65 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1657 Grzegorz_J Win 36% 2-0 1.0× +41.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 36% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R2 1848 StingPL Loss 22% 0-2 1.0× -14.7 Swiss
R3 2157 Avestator Loss 9% 0-2 1.0× -6.1 Swiss
R4 1250 vesnuss Win 69% 2-0 1.0× +20.5 Swiss
R5 1346~ tomszu Loss 61% 0-2 1.0× -39.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 61% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 128, true skill could span ±257).
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