Heath Bailey at Planetary Qualifier Duluth

melee.gg

Planetary Premier January 25, 2025 Record 1-3-0 Field 100

Rating after 1,377

-123

Rating before 1,500 RD 250

Rating after 1,377 RD 195

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,156

Field strength Mean 1,515 · Median 1,500 · 101 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1500 → Swiss 1377 -123.1

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

ECL_Stan 2

MLamons 0

DGCells 1

Chris Wall 2

BN_Philaffle 2

Jediluke 1

BN_RodneyStubbs 0

BN_Soldack 2

Semifinals

ECL_Stan 2

Chris Wall 0

BN_Philaffle 0

BN_Soldack 2

Finals

ECL_Stan 2

BN_Soldack 1

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 4 matches 1-3 -123.1 1.0× +0.0 -123.1 1377

Total 1-3-0 -123.1 1377

Biggest upset Beat rolobolo 1453 at 54% odds / surprise +0.46

Costliest loss Lost to Jumpfin 1389 at 59% odds / surprise -0.59 /

Matches (4)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

R1 shipwrekt Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 rolobolo Win 2-1 1.0× Swiss

R3 BN_Moophisto Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R4 Jumpfin Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss