Heath Bailey at Planetary Qualifier Duluth GA

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Planetary Premier September 20, 2025 Record 3-2-0 Field 93
Rating after 1,492
+115
Rating before 1,377 RD 200
Rating after 1,492 RD 166
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,728 vs field +158
Field strength Mean 1,570 · Median 1,500 · 93 rated 75th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q3

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 3-2 +115.2 1.0× +0.0 +115.2 1492
Total 3-2-0 +115.2 1492
Biggest upset Beat fechin 1538 at 37% odds / surprise +0.63

Matches (5)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1312~ Zlyles Win 55% 2-0 1.0× +54.4 Swiss
R2 1500~ Fait009 Win 40% 2-0 1.0× +68.7 Swiss
R3 1726 Pulse Loss 23% 1-2 1.0× -29.7 Swiss
R4 1538~ fechin Win 37% 2-1 1.0× +77.7 Swiss
R5 1875 BN_SirBostwick Loss 16% 1-2 1.0× -20.2 Swiss
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