Seth Oster at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-4-0 Field 55

Rating after 1,365

Rating before 1,356 RD 184

Rating after 1,365 RD 153

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,395

Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1356 → Swiss 1365 +9.1

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Mark Fichtel 0

CoolBowTiesAre 0

CannedIce 2

marshhhh 0

Gold630 2

vakarian 1

JElliot 2

Semifinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

CannedIce 0

Gold630 2

JElliot 0

Finals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Gold630 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 +9.1 1.0× +0.0 +9.1 1365

Total 2-4-0 +9.1 1365

Biggest upset Beat blitzman 1561 at 33% odds / surprise +0.67

Costliest loss Lost to Vega13x 1486 at 39% odds / surprise -0.39 /

Matches (6)

R1 Gungang_Istvan Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 jabbavert Win 2-0 1.0× +60.1 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 39% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).

R3 Vega13x Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R4 blitzman Win 2-0 1.0× +71.1 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 33% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R5 Jrodlxxv Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R6 Dudacus Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss