WaterLily at Planetary Qualifier Mechanicsburg

melee.gg

Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 2-3-0 Field 72

Rating after 1,563

-27

Rating before 1,590 RD 119

Rating after 1,563 RD 110

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,433

Field strength Mean 1,568 · Median 1,565 · 72 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1590 → Swiss 1563 -27.5

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

pheaver 1

edman218 2

clear10shot 2

MCG_QuiShawnJinn 0

Brian McDonald 2

Kyuudan 1

Simkin7074 2

BeardedCheetah 0

Semifinals

edman218 2

clear10shot 1

Brian McDonald 2

Simkin7074 1

Finals

edman218 2

Brian McDonald 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 5 matches 2-3 -27.5 1.0× +0.0 -27.5 1563

Total 2-3-0 -27.5 1563

Biggest upset Beat ChristianMclean85 1500 at 57% odds / surprise +0.43

Costliest loss Lost to Simkin7074 1569 at 52% odds / surprise -0.52 /

Matches (5)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

R1 Simkin7074 Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 RandoBrando Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R3 ChristianMclean85 Win 2-1 1.0× Swiss

R4 jillyfishe Win 2-0 1.0× Swiss

R5 Drew Beall Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss