Vicky_MoP at Planetary Qualifier London

melee.gg
Planetary Premier August 16, 2025 Record 4-1-2 Field 60
Rating after 1,558
+178
Rating before 1,379 RD 179
Rating after 1,558 RD 152
Effective multiplier 0.98× weighted avg
Performance 1,958 vs field +409
Field strength Mean 1,549 · Median 1,505 · 60 rated 52nd Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q3

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-0-2 +184.8 1.0× +0.0 +184.8 1564
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -26.4 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +4.8 -21.7 1540
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 60 +15.0 1555
Total 4-1-2 +178.2 1558
Biggest upset Beat Josh Bayton 1525 at 38% odds / surprise +0.62
Costliest loss Lost to LXO_AIB0 1713 at 38% odds / surprise -0.38 / +108 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Falconmonkey_DSP Win 41% 2-1 1.0× +55.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 41% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R2 1404~ GCS1598 Win 48% 2-0 1.0× +50.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 178, true skill could span ±356).
R3 1492~ dandannoodle Win 41% 2-1 1.0× +58.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 41% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 158, true skill could span ±315).
R4 1525 Josh Bayton Win 38% 2-1 1.0× +62.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 38% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R5 1762 NXS_CheifGoose Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
R6 1713 LXO_AIB0 Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1713 LXO_AIB0 Loss 38% 0-2 0.82× -20.6 Top Cut
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