Vicky_MoP at Sector Qualifier Munich

melee.gg

Sector Premier November 01, 2025 Record 4-4-0 Field 512

Rating after 1,540

-13

Rating before 1,554 RD 132

Rating after 1,540 RD 114

Effective multiplier 1.15×

Performance 1,513

Field strength Mean 1,585 · Median 1,552 · 512 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Sector tier multiplier (1.15×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Sector event adds a flat +25 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1554 → Swiss 1540 -13.2

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

T85Challenge 2

SobekSobek 0

TheFrostwolf 1

OliTheTraveler 2

Jona Roos 2

StevoHN 0

Menicks 0

TSF_Wulle 2

Semifinals

T85Challenge 0

OliTheTraveler 2

Jona Roos 2

TSF_Wulle 0

Finals

OliTheTraveler 0

Jona Roos 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 8 matches 4-4 -11.5 1.15× -1.7 -13.2 1540

Total 4-4-0 -13.2 1540

Biggest upset Beat PeekaySK 1616 at 45% odds / surprise +0.55

Costliest loss Lost to Ralph Jacoby 1344 at 67% odds / surprise -0.67 /

Matches (8)

R1 jlegolas_TT Loss 0-2 1.15× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 51% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 167, true skill could span ±334).

R2 Harvey Win 2-0 1.15× +20.6 Swiss

R3 eMeF13 Loss 0-2 1.15× Swiss

R4 Ralph Jacoby Loss 1-2 1.15× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 67% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R5 Starfox8 Win 2-0 1.15× +28.5 Swiss

R6 BuboS Win 2-1 1.15× +20.9 Swiss

R7 Firebrand Loss 0-2 1.15× Swiss

R8 PeekaySK Win 2-0 1.15× +36.3 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 45% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.