Vicky_MoP at Planetary Qualifier London

melee.gg
Planetary Premier January 11, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 54
Rating after 1,555
+14
Rating before 1,540 RD 116
Rating after 1,555 RD 106
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,616 vs field +76
Field strength Mean 1,540 · Median 1,529 · 54 rated 25th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q1

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 +14.2 1.0× +0.0 +14.2 1555
Total 3-3-0 +14.2 1555
Biggest upset Beat Stealthmoose_DSP 1708 at 36% odds / surprise +0.64
Costliest loss Lost to DennyProvenzano 1580 at 47% odds / surprise -0.47 / +45 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1456 Rossaldo Win 57% 2-1 1.0× +19.4 Swiss
R2 1589~ Benji0934 Win 46% 2-1 1.0× +24.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 46% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 144, true skill could span ±288).
R3 1689 Josh Bayton Loss 38% 0-2 1.0× -17.1 Swiss
R4 1677 Cortosis_DSP Loss 39% 0-2 1.0× -17.6 Swiss
R5 1708 Stealthmoose_DSP Win 36% 2-0 1.0× +29.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 36% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R6 1580 DennyProvenzano Loss 47% 1-2 1.0× -21.0 Swiss
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