Vega13x at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 55
Rating after 1,526
+40
Rating before 1,486 RD 151
Rating after 1,526 RD 132
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,648 vs field +60
Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated 62nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 +40.3 1.0× +0.0 +40.3 1526
Total 3-3-0 +40.3 1526
Biggest upset Beat Crimmy 1709 at 32% odds / surprise +0.68
Costliest loss Lost to Mark Fichtel 1669 at 35% odds / surprise -0.35 / +73 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1836 marshhhh Loss 23% 1-2 1.0× -17.5 Swiss
R2 1709 Crimmy Win 32% 2-0 1.0× +50.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 32% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1356~ Seth Oster Win 60% 2-0 1.0× +28.2 Swiss
R4 1405~ BeccaWilliams Win 57% 2-0 1.0× +30.9 Swiss
R5 1669~ Mark Fichtel Loss 35% 0-2 1.0× -25.6 Swiss
R6 1871 Hunter Shelburne Loss 21% 1-2 1.0× -15.9 Swiss
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