ValP10 at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-3-0 Field 82
Rating after 1,552
+52
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,552 RD 170
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,597 vs field +18
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 +52.3 1.0× +0.0 +52.3 1552
Total 4-3-0 +52.3 1552
Biggest upset Beat bs45 1610 at 41% odds / surprise +0.59
Costliest loss Lost to Fouc 1403 at 58% odds / surprise -0.58 / +179 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1622 Order514_BRUCE Loss 40% 1-2 1.0× -72.4 Swiss
R2 1500~ captWes Win 50% 2-0 1.0× +85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R3 1403~ Fouc Loss 58% 1-2 1.0× -103.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 58% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±303).
R4 1610~ bs45 Win 41% 2-1 1.0× +106.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 41% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 143, true skill could span ±285).
R5 1448~ NicolasMonteilhet Win 54% 2-0 1.0× +82.0 Swiss
R6 1474~ ORA_Undead Win 52% 2-1 1.0× +84.6 Swiss
R7 1500~ Gounaki Loss 50% 1-2 1.0× -85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
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