Txlawwhawk at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-2-0 Field 55

Rating after 1,727

+21

Rating before 1,706 RD 106

Rating after 1,727 RD 99

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,850

Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1706 → Swiss 1727 +20.8

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Mark Fichtel 0

CoolBowTiesAre 0

CannedIce 2

marshhhh 0

Gold630 2

vakarian 1

JElliot 2

Semifinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

CannedIce 0

Gold630 2

JElliot 0

Finals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Gold630 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +20.8 1.0× +0.0 +20.8 1727

Total 4-2-0 +20.8 1727

Biggest upset Beat jkfman101 1959 at 30% odds / surprise +0.7

Costliest loss Lost to CannedIce 1641 at 56% odds / surprise -0.56 /

Matches (6)

R1 CannedIce Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 56% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R2 Gawgles Win 2-0 1.0× +14.2 Swiss

R3 jkfman101 Win 2-0 1.0× +26.5 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 30% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R4 Mark Fichtel Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 53% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 146, true skill could span ±292).

R5 Undefineddawn Win 2-0 1.0× +13.3 Swiss

R6 Awnetu Win 2-0 1.0× +10.7 Swiss