TonyFBaby at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 22

Rating after 1,622

Rating before 1,622 RD 153

Rating after 1,622 RD 134

Effective multiplier 0.91×

Performance 1,569

Field strength Mean 1,526 · Median 1,500 · 22 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.06 +0.09 +0.12 Losses -0.09 -0.14 -0.18

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1622 → Swiss 1622 +0.3 → Quarterfinals 1611 -11.2 → Top-cut bonus 1619 +8.0 → Made-cut floor 1622 +2.9

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Sungazer 2

RocketLight 0

UnableToWin 2

Adjcass 0

luka8luka 2

TonyFBaby 0

john196 0

Zeyaad Pandey 2

Semifinals

Sungazer 2

UnableToWin 0

luka8luka 0

Zeyaad Pandey 2

Finals

Sungazer 1

Zeyaad Pandey 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 5 matches 3-2 +0.3 1.0× +0.0 +0.3 1622

Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -11.4 0.91× 1.00 · -0.09 +1.0 -10.4 1611

Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 22 +8.0 1619

Made-cut floor Net pinned to ≥ 0 because you made cut +2.9 1622

Total 3-3-0 +0.0 1622

Biggest upset Beat KimVee 1500 at 60% odds / surprise +0.4

Costliest loss Lost to Sungazer 1500 at 59% odds / surprise -0.59 /

Matches (6)

R1 KimVee Win 2-0 1.0× +29.5 Swiss

R2 ouchthegreat Win 2-1 1.0× +26.4 Swiss

R3 Sungazer Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 59% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).

R4 UnableToWin Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 53% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 169, true skill could span ±338).

R5 RocketLight Win 2-0 1.0× +25.8 Swiss

QF luka8luka Loss 0-2 0.91× Top Cut