Tommycallahan123 at Planetary Qualifier Yuma

melee.gg
Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 43
Rating after 1,572
+72
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,572 RD 182
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,644 vs field +69
Field strength Mean 1,575 · Median 1,552 · 42 rated 46th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 +71.9 1.0× +0.0 +71.9 1572
Total 3-3-0 +71.9 1572
Biggest upset Beat WhiteFlex 1678 at 36% odds / surprise +0.64
Costliest loss Lost to _ODIN_WAN_KENOBI_ 1500 at 50% odds / surprise -0.5 / +170 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Bepsiman Win 50% 2-0 1.0× +85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R2 1569~ Arteiris Win 44% 2-0 1.0× +99.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 44% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 160, true skill could span ±321).
R3 1678~ WhiteFlex Win 36% 2-0 1.0× +116.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 36% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).
R4 1926~ Spencer Freeman Loss 20% 0-2 1.0× -36.8 Swiss
R5 1695 CBG_Taylor Loss 34% 0-2 1.0× -62.3 Swiss
R6 1500~ _ODIN_WAN_KENOBI_ Loss 50% 1-2 1.0× -85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
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