TomDuc at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-6-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,222
-134
Rating before 1,356 RD 178
Rating after 1,222 RD 142
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 894 vs field -678
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 1-6 -134.2 1.0× +0.0 -134.2 1222
Total 1-6-0 -134.2 1222
Biggest upset Beat Diddi6986 1324 at 53% odds / surprise +0.47
Costliest loss Lost to Spheenix_bw 1245 at 59% odds / surprise -0.59 / +99 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1541~ EW_Zodd Loss 35% 0-2 1.0× -34.2 Swiss
R2 1324 Diddi6986 Win 53% 2-0 1.0× +47.1 Swiss
R3 1703~ Nonamesman Loss 24% 1-2 1.0× -23.9 Swiss
R4 1387 RollRobin Loss 47% 1-2 1.0× -47.2 Swiss
R5 1475~ IorekByrnison Loss 40% 0-2 1.0× -39.6 Swiss
R6 1245~ Spheenix_bw Loss 59% 0-2 1.0× -58.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 59% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 124, true skill could span ±249).
R7 1464 Yacone Loss 41% 1-2 1.0× -40.7 Swiss
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