TimmyG at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-2-0 Field 55

Rating after 1,648

+11

Rating before 1,637 RD 83

Rating after 1,648 RD 80

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,752

Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1637 → Swiss 1648 +10.6

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Mark Fichtel 0

CoolBowTiesAre 0

CannedIce 2

marshhhh 0

Gold630 2

vakarian 1

JElliot 2

Semifinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

CannedIce 0

Gold630 2

JElliot 0

Finals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Gold630 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +10.6 1.0× +0.0 +10.6 1648

Total 4-2-0 +10.6 1648

Biggest upset Beat Kale Orrmons 1670 at 47% odds / surprise +0.53

Costliest loss Lost to zach2519 1504 at 61% odds / surprise -0.61 /

Matches (6)

R1 Mr007agent Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 zach2519 Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 61% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R3 Mordredd1 Win 2-0 1.0× +7.2 Swiss

R4 lukeBlevins Win 2-0 1.0× +8.7 Swiss

R5 Nick5021 Win 2-0 1.0× +9.2 Swiss

R6 Kale Orrmons Win 2-0 1.0× +12.6 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 47% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.