Tillmann at Planetary Qualifier Essen

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 5-2-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,523
+53
Rating before 1,470 RD 82
Rating after 1,523 RD 79
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,953 vs field +381
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 5-2 +52.7 1.0× +0.0 +52.7 1523
Total 5-2-0 +52.7 1523
Biggest upset Beat FatherComstock_TDM 1859 at 21% odds / surprise +0.79
Costliest loss Lost to Laukes 1639 at 36% odds / surprise -0.36 / +23 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1603~ MicW12 Win 39% 2-0 1.0× +13.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 39% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 147, true skill could span ±295).
R2 1488~ Mazem Win 48% 2-1 1.0× +11.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 135, true skill could span ±269).
R3 1541~ EW_Zodd Win 44% 2-1 1.0× +12.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 44% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 177, true skill could span ±355).
R4 1639 Laukes Loss 36% 0-2 1.0× -8.4 Swiss
R5 1923 Django84_TcT Loss 18% 0-2 1.0× -4.1 Swiss
R6 1859 FatherComstock_TDM Win 21% 2-0 1.0× +18.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 21% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R7 1588~ eMTeeHa Win 40% 2-1 1.0× +13.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 40% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 140, true skill could span ±280).
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