TheMystic at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-4-0 Field 22
Rating after 1,274
-226
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,274 RD 188
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 941 vs field -585
Field strength Mean 1,526 · Median 1,500 · 22 rated 12th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 1-4 -226.0 1.0× +0.0 -226.0 1274
Total 1-4-0 -226.0 1274
Toughest win Beat Nicola Bradley 1189 at 74% odds
Costliest loss Lost to Goggas 1316 at 65% odds / surprise -0.65 / +180 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Joshua Pietersen Loss 50% 0-2 1.0× -87.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 187, true skill could span ±373).
R2 1189~ Nicola Bradley Win 74% 2-0 1.0× +48.3 Swiss
R3 1500~ Henteezy Loss 50% 1-2 1.0× -85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R4 1316~ Goggas Loss 65% 1-2 1.0× -116.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 65% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 159, true skill could span ±318).
R5 1400~ bolanki Loss 58% 0-2 1.0× -103.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 58% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 157, true skill could span ±315).
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