Thax80 at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-4-0 Field 55

Rating after 1,280

-24

Rating before 1,304 RD 134

Rating after 1,280 RD 122

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,156

Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1304 → Swiss 1280 -23.8

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Mark Fichtel 0

CoolBowTiesAre 0

CannedIce 2

marshhhh 0

Gold630 2

vakarian 1

JElliot 2

Semifinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

CannedIce 0

Gold630 2

JElliot 0

Finals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Gold630 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 5 matches 1-4 -23.8 1.0× +0.0 -23.8 1280

Total 1-4-0 -23.8 1280

Biggest upset Beat plushmarmot 1457 at 37% odds / surprise +0.63

Costliest loss Lost to Nick5021 1502 at 34% odds / surprise -0.34 /

Matches (5)

R1 YubDubberson Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 Jrodlxxv Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R3 plushmarmot Win 2-1 1.0× +36.4 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 37% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 133, true skill could span ±265).

R4 Nick5021 Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 blitzman Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss