Tadas at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

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Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 2-3-1 Field 63
Rating after 1,475
-47
Rating before 1,522 RD 152
Rating after 1,475 RD 131
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,344 vs field -250
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 2-3-1 -47.2 1.0× +0.0 -47.2 1475
Total 2-3-1 -47.2 1475
Biggest upset Beat macpodgorski 1520 at 50% odds / surprise +0.5
Costliest loss Lost to SzyczyL 1276 at 69% odds / surprise -0.69 / +73 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1574 Arteusz Loss 46% 0-2 1.0× -34.0 Swiss
R2 1350~ SergioG4 Draw 64% 1-1 1.0× -9.9 Swiss
R3 1276~ SzyczyL Loss 69% 1-2 1.0× -50.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 69% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 185, true skill could span ±369).
R4 1708~ Malyszek95 Loss 35% 0-2 1.0× -25.9 Swiss
R5 1279~ Cread2 Win 69% 2-0 1.0× +22.8 Swiss
R6 1520~ macpodgorski Win 50% 2-0 1.0× +36.6 Swiss
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