TRSH_Dorminus at Regional Qualifier Minneapolis

melee.gg
Regional Premier May 24, 2025 Record 4-5-0 Field 636
Rating after 1,473
+83
Rating before 1,390 RD 154
Rating after 1,473 RD 128
Effective multiplier 1.3× weighted avg
Performance 1,578 vs field +30
Field strength Mean 1,548 · Median 1,500 · 631 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 9 matches 4-5 +64.1 1.3× +19.2 +83.3 1473
Total 4-5-0 +83.3 1473
Biggest upset Beat WarLax 1696 at 27% odds / surprise +0.73
Costliest loss Lost to Alex villa 1500 at 42% odds / surprise -0.42 / +92 swing

Matches (9)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1417~ Steve Berger Win 48% 2-0 1.3× +50.5 Swiss
R2 2063 Ophir Marom Loss 9% 0-2 1.3× -9.5 Swiss
R3 1613~ N3rdSl4y3r Loss 32% 0-2 1.3× -31.7 Swiss
R4 1414~ courtjester Win 48% 2-0 1.3× +50.5 Swiss
R5 1696~ WarLax Win 27% 2-0 1.3× +71.0 Swiss
R6 1569~ Steve Boatwright Win 36% 2-0 1.3× +61.2 Swiss
R7 1833~ Sam Bosscha Loss 18% 1-2 1.3× -18.5 Swiss
R8 1500~ Alex villa Loss 42% 1-2 1.3× -38.1 Swiss
R9 1783 ZBAYNE Loss 21% 0-2 1.3× -21.1 Swiss
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