TP_MaJar at Regional Championship Milwaukee

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Regional Premier February 21, 2026 Record 11-2-1 Field 708
Rating after 2,091
+142
Rating before 1,949 RD 102
Rating after 2,091 RD 91
Effective multiplier 1.27× weighted avg
Performance 2,333 vs field +733
Field strength Mean 1,600 · Median 1,580 · 712 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 13 matches 11-1-1 +96.2 1.3× +28.9 +125.1 2074
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -16.1 1.12× 1.30 · -0.18 -1.9 -18.0 2054
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Regional at 708 +35.0 2089
Total 11-2-1 +142.1 2091
Biggest upset Beat ECL_Mickeyd 2111 at 36% odds / surprise +0.64
Costliest loss Lost to Ray Tan 1919 at 63% odds / surprise -0.63 / +45 swing

Matches (14)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1474 HighFiveStandingBy Win 83% 2-0 1.3× +7.8 Swiss
R2 1518 Cody Kressmann Win 81% 2-1 1.3× +8.7 Swiss
R3 1627 Acorey23 Win 75% 2-0 1.3× +11.6 Swiss
R4 1595~ Wookiewinz Win 77% 2-1 1.3× +10.7 Swiss
R5 2111 ECL_Mickeyd Win 36% 2-0 1.3× +29.4 Swiss
R6 1548 WW_ProlificThrill Win 80% 2-1 1.3× +9.5 Swiss
R7 1753 rp_MrBigB Win 66% 2-0 1.3× +15.7 Swiss
R8 2019 ECL_Curti43 Win 44% 2-0 1.3× +25.9 Swiss
R9 1850 MCG_SpanishAlex Loss 58% 1-2 1.3× -27.1 Swiss
R10 1963 SYC_Vernastyr Win 49% 2-0 1.3× +23.7 Swiss
R11 1919 Ray Tan Win 53% 2-0 1.3× +22.0 Swiss
R12 1920 LMTD_This_is_my_real_name Win 52% 2-0 1.3× +22.0 Swiss
R13 1913 ECL_TroyYamaguchi Draw 0-0 1.3× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1919 Ray Tan Loss 63% 1-2 1.12× -21.0 Top Cut
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