TP_HikingKnight at Planetary Qualifier Ankeny IA

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Planetary Premier September 06, 2025 Record 4-3-0 Field 85
Rating after 1,739
-19
Rating before 1,758 RD 108
Rating after 1,739 RD 100
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,653 vs field +60
Field strength Mean 1,593 · Median 1,560 · 85 rated 92nd Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q3

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 -18.5 1.0× +0.0 -18.5 1739
Total 4-3-0 -18.5 1739
Biggest upset Beat AGodfather11 1677 at 57% odds / surprise +0.43
Costliest loss Lost to Isawa 1557 at 66% odds / surprise -0.66 / +39 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1225~ JustAnotherPokeDad Win 85% 2-0 1.0× +5.7 Swiss
R2 1565 Robin Hollingsworth Win 66% 2-0 1.0× +13.5 Swiss
R3 1677 AGodfather11 Win 57% 2-1 1.0× +17.0 Swiss
R4 1691 Jaredm1210 Loss 56% 0-2 1.0× -21.8 Swiss
R5 1746~ Steve Locke Loss 51% 0-2 1.0× -19.8 Swiss
R6 1557 Isawa Loss 66% 0-2 1.0× -26.1 Swiss
R7 1443~ Titus Bingaman Win 74% 2-1 1.0× +10.1 Swiss
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