TH_TBirdASDF at Planetary Qualifier Groton

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-4-0 Field 69
Rating after 1,533
+1
Rating before 1,533 RD 91
Rating after 1,533 RD 86
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,541 vs field -29
Field strength Mean 1,570 · Median 1,540 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-4 +0.5 1.0× +0.0 +0.5 1533
Total 3-4-0 +0.5 1533
Biggest upset Beat Adam Gaudreau 1546 at 49% odds / surprise +0.51
Costliest loss Lost to SpectreZero 1591 at 45% odds / surprise -0.45 / +29 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1949 CAPLOCK Loss 19% 0-2 1.0× -5.6 Swiss
R2 1779 jolis Loss 30% 0-2 1.0× -8.7 Swiss
R3 1326~ Tomo L Win 67% 2-1 1.0× +9.4 Swiss
R4 1702 MCG_Glu Loss 36% 0-2 1.0× -10.4 Swiss
R5 1531~ Todd Green Win 50% 2-1 1.0× +14.1 Swiss
R6 1546 Adam Gaudreau Win 49% 2-0 1.0× +14.5 Swiss
R7 1591 SpectreZero Loss 45% 0-2 1.0× -12.9 Swiss
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