TH_MoxlessMatt at Planetary Qualifier Groton

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 5-2-0 Field 69
Rating after 1,753
+12
Rating before 1,741 RD 95
Rating after 1,753 RD 90
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,845 vs field +275
Field strength Mean 1,570 · Median 1,540 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 5-2 +12.4 1.0× +0.0 +12.4 1753
Total 5-2-0 +12.4 1753
Biggest upset Beat wesworth 1591 at 62% odds / surprise +0.38
Costliest loss Lost to ModoBaggins 1744 at 50% odds / surprise -0.5 / +31 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1953 Nicky Morgan Loss 33% 0-2 1.0× -10.2 Swiss
R2 1250~ Drew_S Win 84% 2-0 1.0× +5.0 Swiss
R3 1744 ModoBaggins Loss 50% 0-2 1.0× -15.5 Swiss
R4 1242 AllenP66 Win 85% 2-0 1.0× +4.9 Swiss
R5 1370~ Bald_Matt Win 77% 2-0 1.0× +6.9 Swiss
R6 1591~ wesworth Win 62% 2-0 1.0× +11.5 Swiss
R7 1583 sleepygato Win 63% 2-0 1.0× +11.5 Swiss
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