TH_Lowercase at Planetary Qualifier Groton

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-3-1 Field 69
Rating after 1,783
-18
Rating before 1,801 RD 84
Rating after 1,783 RD 81
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,644 vs field +74
Field strength Mean 1,570 · Median 1,540 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-3-1 -17.9 1.0× +0.0 -17.9 1783
Total 3-3-1 -17.9 1783
Biggest upset Beat MCG_Glu 1702 at 58% odds / surprise +0.42
Costliest loss Lost to ZDeadpool007 1525 at 72% odds / surprise -0.72 / +25 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1499 XLNordic Win 74% 2-0 1.0× +6.5 Swiss
R2 1579 Thunderdome Win 68% 2-0 1.0× +7.9 Swiss
R3 2054 BobbySapphire Loss 30% 1-2 1.0× -7.3 Swiss
R4 1591~ wesworth Draw 67% 1-1 1.0× -4.1 Swiss
R5 1702 MCG_Glu Win 58% 2-1 1.0× +10.3 Swiss
R6 1525 ZDeadpool007 Loss 72% 1-2 1.0× -17.8 Swiss
R7 1616~ maciej710 Loss 65% 0-2 1.0× -15.3 Swiss
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