TCT_Adrian at Planetary Qualifier Gelsenkirchen

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Planetary Premier September 21, 2025 Record 4-3-0 Field 93

Rating after 1,589

+89

Rating before 1,500 RD 250

Rating after 1,589 RD 174

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,681

Field strength Mean 1,536 · Median 1,500 · 93 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1500 → Swiss 1589 +88.7

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Fanti 2

Menicks 1

FettFighter 2

yungpope_TDM 0

T85Challenge 2

Firebrand 1

FatherComstock_TDM 1

Django84_TcT 2

Semifinals

Fanti 2

FettFighter 0

T85Challenge 2

Django84_TcT 1

Finals

Fanti 1

T85Challenge 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 +88.7 1.0× +0.0 +88.7 1589

Total 4-3-0 +88.7 1589

Biggest upset Beat SimonNeumann_TcT 1716 at 32% odds / surprise +0.68

Costliest loss Lost to aaronpiet 1377 at 60% odds / surprise -0.6 /

Matches (7)

R1 Udini68 Win 2-0 1.0× +85.1 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).

R2 BoS2 Win 2-0 1.0× +85.1 Swiss

R3 SimonNeumann_TcT Win 2-1 1.0× +125.0 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 32% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R4 DoPaKo Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 Suardo_TCT Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R6 aaronpiet Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 60% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 136, true skill could span ±272).

R7 Mokhir Win 2-0 1.0× +85.1 Swiss