TCT_Adrian at Planetary Qualifier Osnabrück

melee.gg
Planetary Premier January 04, 2026 Record 3-3-1 Field 106
Rating after 1,608
+19
Rating before 1,589 RD 177
Rating after 1,608 RD 142
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,639 vs field +73
Field strength Mean 1,566 · Median 1,511 · 106 rated 54th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q1

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-3-1 +18.9 1.0× +0.0 +18.9 1608
Total 3-3-1 +18.9 1608
Biggest upset Beat nWo_BoboWanKenobi 1850 at 29% odds / surprise +0.71
Costliest loss Lost to nWo_Hanya 1646 at 45% odds / surprise -0.45 / +99 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1738 TSF_Weyoun Win 37% 2-0 1.0× +62.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 37% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R2 1850 nWo_BoboWanKenobi Win 29% 2-1 1.0× +70.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 29% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1646 nWo_Hanya Loss 45% 0-2 1.0× -44.6 Swiss
R4 1714 TSF_Nasgul Loss 40% 0-2 1.0× -38.8 Swiss
R5 1826 FatherComstock_TDM Loss 31% 0-2 1.0× -30.6 Swiss
R6 1345 Diddi6986 Draw 70% 1-1 1.0× -19.6 Swiss
R7 1326~ Yacone Win 71% 2-0 1.0× +28.8 Swiss
// keyboard

Shortcuts

Focus search
/
Next row
j
Previous row
k
Open focused row
Enter
Show / hide this panel
?
Close dialogs
Esc

j / k navigate rows on the leaderboard and tournaments index. Arrow keys work too.