TCT_Adrian at Planetary Qualifier Idstein

melee.gg

Planetary Premier February 21, 2026 Record 2-2-0 Field 61

Rating after 1,601

-7

Rating before 1,608 RD 125

Rating after 1,601 RD 117

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,569

Field strength Mean 1,584 · Median 1,568 · 61 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1608 → Swiss 1601 -6.9

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

yungpope_TDM 0

noel11 2

NGNR_AnMi94 1

SimonNeumann_TcT 2

BFF_Cybermuffin 2

nWo_Hanya 0

Chiefvolgin 0

Aggromainz 2

Semifinals

noel11 0

SimonNeumann_TcT 2

BFF_Cybermuffin 0

Aggromainz 2

Finals

SimonNeumann_TcT 2

Aggromainz 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 4 matches 2-2 -6.9 1.0× +0.0 -6.9 1601

Total 2-2-0 -6.9 1601

Biggest upset Beat CCR_Ege 1545 at 55% odds / surprise +0.45

Costliest loss Lost to NGNR_AnMi94 1517 at 58% odds / surprise -0.58 /

Matches (4)

R1 Kevin Poth Win 2-0 1.0× +18.7 Swiss

R2 CCR_Ege Win 2-0 1.0× +23.0 Swiss

R3 Erik_TCT Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R4 NGNR_AnMi94 Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 58% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 121, true skill could span ±241).