TCC_jacobgp12 at Regional Championship Bilbao Premier

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Regional Premier October 11, 2025 Record 6-3-0 Field 677

Rating after 1,684

+61

Rating before 1,623 RD 122

Rating after 1,684 RD 106

Effective multiplier 1.3×

Performance 1,815

Field strength Mean 1,574 · Median 1,535 · 677 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1623 → Swiss 1684 +61.4

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Mikołaj Wendowski 2

ADrinkwater 1

Beton 2

SobekSobek 0

Twilgrimm 1

Avestator 2

Jonas Skjold Frederiksen 1

FA_Nightbryd 2

Semifinals

Mikołaj Wendowski 2

Beton 1

Avestator 1

FA_Nightbryd 2

Finals

Mikołaj Wendowski 1

FA_Nightbryd 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 9 matches 6-3 +47.2 1.3× +14.2 +61.4 1684

Total 6-3-0 +61.4 1684

Biggest upset Beat YaraCosmic 1744 at 40% odds / surprise +0.6

Costliest loss Lost to Edouard Wanner 1705 at 43% odds / surprise -0.43 /

Matches (9)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

R1 Craisu Win 2-1 1.3× Swiss

R2 Rosen2rc Win 2-1 1.3× Swiss

R3 Edouard Wanner Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R4 papoudi Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R5 GloktaPRT Win 2-0 1.3× Swiss

R6 StingPL Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R7 Darth_Cosmos Win 2-0 1.3× Swiss

R8 YaraCosmic Win 2-0 1.3× Swiss

R9 WS_Macewin Win 2-0 1.3× Swiss