TCC_Natanael at Planetary Qualifier Málaga

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Planetary Premier May 11, 2025 Record 3-1-2 Field 61
Rating after 1,608
+39
Rating before 1,569 RD 147
Rating after 1,608 RD 129
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,738 vs field +207
Field strength Mean 1,531 · Median 1,500 · 60 rated 55th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Semifinals
Finals
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-1-2 +39.1 1.0× +0.0 +39.1 1608
Total 3-1-2 +39.1 1608
Biggest upset Beat Pablo Martin 1515 at 55% odds / surprise +0.45
Costliest loss Lost to Adryano001 1799 at 32% odds / surprise -0.32 / +70 swing

Matches (6)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1256~ Juanmi_TheCantinaCrew Win 74% 2-0 1.0× +18.2 Swiss
R2 1515 Pablo Martin Win 55% 2-0 1.0× +31.8 Swiss
R3 1799~ Adryano001 Loss 32% 0-2 1.0× -22.0 Swiss
R4 1492~ TCC_jacobgp12 Draw 56% 1-1 1.0× -4.4 Swiss
R5 1500~ Pabloj7 Win 55% 2-1 1.0× +29.1 Swiss
R6 1500~ OneCardLost Draw 55% 1-1 1.0× -3.5 Swiss
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