TCC_Natanael at Planetary Qualifier Sevilla

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Planetary Premier June 07, 2025 Record 3-3-0 Field 56
Rating after 1,586
-16
Rating before 1,602 RD 113
Rating after 1,586 RD 105
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,517 vs field -21
Field strength Mean 1,538 · Median 1,500 · 56 rated 63rd Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 -15.5 1.0× +0.0 -15.5 1586
Total 3-3-0 -15.5 1586
Biggest upset Beat Perico 1500 at 58% odds / surprise +0.42
Costliest loss Lost to Rosen2rc 1547 at 54% odds / surprise -0.54 / +42 swing

Matches (6)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1382~ Noiseman Win 68% 2-0 1.0× +13.8 Swiss
R2 1547~ Rosen2rc Loss 54% 1-2 1.0× -22.7 Swiss
R3 1745 teddyviking Loss 38% 0-2 1.0× -16.4 Swiss
R4 1354~ Erekosejr Win 70% 2-0 1.0× +13.0 Swiss
R5 1500~ Perico Win 58% 2-0 1.0× +16.8 Swiss
R6 1568~ DarkNaX Loss 53% 0-2 1.0× -22.4 Swiss
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