Sures at Planetary Qualifier Essen

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-3-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,589
+14
Rating before 1,576 RD 81
Rating after 1,589 RD 78
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,700 vs field +128
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 +13.5 1.0× +0.0 +13.5 1589
Total 4-3-0 +13.5 1589
Biggest upset Beat Suardo_TCT 1994 at 19% odds / surprise +0.81
Costliest loss Lost to xBosco 1317 at 70% odds / surprise -0.7 / +23 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1301 ertlheimer Win 72% 2-1 1.0× +6.4 Swiss
R2 1994 Suardo_TCT Win 19% 2-1 1.0× +18.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 19% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1744 yungpope_TDM Loss 36% 1-2 1.0× -8.3 Swiss
R4 1744 ChrisCunning Win 36% 2-1 1.0× +14.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 36% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R5 1317~ xBosco Loss 70% 0-2 1.0× -15.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 70% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 132, true skill could span ±264).
R6 1585 nWo_DerAmberg Win 49% 2-0 1.0× +11.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 49% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R7 1527~ CCR_RealVeers Loss 54% 0-2 1.0× -12.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 54% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 127, true skill could span ±255).
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