StingPL at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 4-2-0 Field 63
Rating after 1,855
+7
Rating before 1,848 RD 83
Rating after 1,855 RD 81
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,939 vs field +345
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +7.4 1.0× +0.0 +7.4 1855
Total 4-2-0 +7.4 1855
Biggest upset Beat Avestator 2157 at 26% odds / surprise +0.74
Costliest loss Lost to Yann Cauet 1671 at 64% odds / surprise -0.64 / +24 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ bowbark Win 75% 2-1 1.0× +5.6 Swiss
R2 1481~ Wosho Win 77% 2-0 1.0× +5.4 Swiss
R3 1975 siny Loss 39% 1-2 1.0× -9.4 Swiss
R4 2157 Avestator Win 26% 2-1 1.0× +17.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 26% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R5 1671~ Yann Cauet Loss 64% 0-2 1.0× -15.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 64% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 134, true skill could span ±268).
R6 1356~ qb Win 83% 2-0 1.0× +3.9 Swiss
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