Nicola Bradley at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-4-0 Field 22
Rating after 1,182
-7
Rating before 1,189 RD 168
Rating after 1,182 RD 150
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,156 vs field -370
Field strength Mean 1,526 · Median 1,500 · 22 rated 12th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 1-4 -6.9 1.0× +0.0 -6.9 1182
Total 1-4-0 -6.9 1182
Biggest upset Beat KimVee 1500 at 27% odds / surprise +0.73

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1692~ RGB_Dave Loss 16% 1-2 1.0× -14.3 Swiss
R2 1500~ TheMystic Loss 27% 0-2 1.0× -23.1 Swiss
R3 1624~ prettyflyforajedi Loss 19% 1-2 1.0× -17.2 Swiss
R4 1500~ KimVee Win 27% 2-1 1.0× +64.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 27% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 187, true skill could span ±373).
R5 1596~ Luke_C Loss 21% 0-2 1.0× -18.5 Swiss
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