SergioG4 at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

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Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 3-2-1 Field 63
Rating after 1,417
+67
Rating before 1,350 RD 180
Rating after 1,417 RD 148
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,550 vs field -44
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-2-1 +66.7 1.0× +0.0 +66.7 1417
Total 3-2-1 +66.7 1417
Biggest upset Beat macpodgorski 1520 at 36% odds / surprise +0.64
Costliest loss Lost to Danuel_Nie 1304 at 54% odds / surprise -0.54 / +100 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1304~ Danuel_Nie Loss 54% 1-2 1.0× -53.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 54% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 144, true skill could span ±289).
R2 1522~ Tadas Draw 36% 1-1 1.0× +13.9 Swiss
R3 1520~ macpodgorski Win 36% 2-0 1.0× +64.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 36% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 144, true skill could span ±288).
R4 1445~ SirMesmer Win 42% 2-1 1.0× +58.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 42% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 129, true skill could span ±258).
R5 1716 Tomasz Napierała Loss 22% 0-2 1.0× -23.3 Swiss
R6 1126~ Marcin-ravin78 Win 68% 2-0 1.0× +32.5 Swiss
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