Ethan Lind at Planetary Qualifier Edmonds

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-2-0 Field 64
Rating after 1,462
-38
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,462 RD 205
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,391 vs field -199
Field strength Mean 1,590 · Median 1,568 · 64 rated 70th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 3 matches 1-2 -38.1 1.0× +0.0 -38.1 1462
Total 1-2-0 -38.1 1462
Biggest upset Beat JadeMaybe 1429 at 56% odds / surprise +0.44
Costliest loss Lost to Tim George 1673 at 36% odds / surprise -0.36 / +184 swing

Matches (3)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1701 SamRichards Loss 34% 1-2 1.0× -61.8 Swiss
R2 1429~ JadeMaybe Win 56% 2-1 1.0× +78.2 Swiss
R3 1673 Tim George Loss 36% 0-2 1.0× -65.5 Swiss
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