STAR_RelicRelic at Regional Championship Milwaukee

melee.gg
Regional Premier February 21, 2026 Record 10-3-0 Field 708
Rating after 2,000
+50
Rating before 1,951 RD 84
Rating after 2,000 RD 77
Effective multiplier 1.3× weighted avg
Performance 2,171 vs field +571
Field strength Mean 1,600 · Median 1,579 · 712 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 13 matches 10-3 +38.3 1.3× +11.5 +49.8 2000
Total 10-3-0 +49.8 2000
Biggest upset Beat BN_georgethehulk 2032 at 43% odds / surprise +0.57
Costliest loss Lost to ECL_TroyYamaguchi 1913 at 53% odds / surprise -0.53 / +32 swing

Matches (13)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1425 originalerror Win 86% 2-1 1.3× +4.6 Swiss
R2 1760 Antonio Zanutto Win 66% 2-1 1.3× +11.0 Swiss
R3 1952 BN_Jeff_Creasy Win 50% 2-1 1.3× +16.0 Swiss
R4 1920 Nicky Morgan Loss 53% 1-2 1.3× -16.9 Swiss
R5 1935 Chris Wolf Win 51% 2-0 1.3× +15.6 Swiss
R6 1677 Peter Wilson Win 72% 2-0 1.3× +9.0 Swiss
R7 2032 BN_georgethehulk Win 43% 2-1 1.3× +18.2 Swiss
R8 1913 ECL_TroyYamaguchi Loss 53% 0-2 1.3× -17.0 Swiss
R9 1776 RStanni Win 64% 2-1 1.3× +11.4 Swiss
R10 1636 Colby_J_Chevrolet Win 75% 2-1 1.3× +8.2 Swiss
R11 1597 Slimmons Win 77% 2-0 1.3× +7.4 Swiss
R12 1566~ Justin_B Win 79% 2-1 1.3× +6.8 Swiss
R13 2035 CarsonCarusoSWU Loss 43% 0-2 1.3× -13.7 Swiss
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