SSB_Lier at Planetary Qualifier Oviedo

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-4-0 Field 44

Rating after 1,650

-45

Rating before 1,695 RD 94

Rating after 1,650 RD 89

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,339

Field strength Mean 1,545 · Median 1,519 · 44 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1695 → Swiss 1650 -44.5

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

JAEstwald 1

Diego-jr 2

Loira 2

Farreli 0

Evilcloud 0

miguividal 2

Fuegoscuro86 2

McLion34 1

Semifinals

Diego-jr 0

Loira 2

miguividal 2

Fuegoscuro86 1

Finals

Loira 2

miguividal 1

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 -44.5 1.0× +0.0 -44.5 1650

Total 2-4-0 -44.5 1650

Biggest upset Beat ivanSAT 1569 at 61% odds / surprise +0.39

Costliest loss Lost to McLion34 1425 at 71% odds / surprise -0.71 /

Matches (6)

R1 ivanSAT Win 2-0 1.0× +11.9 Swiss

R2 DarkArrow Win 2-0 1.0× +9.0 Swiss

R3 Farreli Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 60% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 150, true skill could span ±300).

R4 McLion34 Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 71% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 186, true skill could span ±372).

R5 vidalvic Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R6 leninegz Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 59% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.