SC_louloup at Planetary Qualifier Abbeville

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Planetary Premier January 11, 2025 Record 6-2-0 Field 100
Rating after 1,714
+94
Rating before 1,620 RD 141
Rating after 1,714 RD 121
Effective multiplier 0.97× weighted avg
Performance 1,906 vs field +393
Field strength Mean 1,513 · Median 1,500 · 99 rated 32nd Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q1

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 6-1 +96.7 1.0× +0.0 +96.7 1717
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -21.8 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +3.9 -17.9 1697
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 100 +15.0 1712
Total 6-2-0 +93.8 1714
Biggest upset Beat EC_ChuQi 1640 at 48% odds / surprise +0.52
Costliest loss Lost to SWU_IsADeadGame_xD 1715 at 50% odds / surprise -0.5 / +64 swing

Matches (8)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Arizeal Win 59% 2-0 1.0× +24.6 Swiss
R2 1634~ BN_Diyifei Loss 49% 0-2 1.0× -30.9 Swiss
R3 1640~ EC_ChuQi Win 48% 2-0 1.0× +32.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 175, true skill could span ±349).
R4 1500~ LaSardine Win 59% 2-1 1.0× +24.6 Swiss
R5 1500~ Redkojax Win 59% 2-1 1.0× +24.6 Swiss
R6 1478~ BEO_Jango Win 61% 2-0 1.0× +24.4 Swiss
R7 1500~ Salacious666 Win 59% 2-0 1.0× +24.6 Swiss
QF 1715~ SWU_IsADeadGame_xD Loss 50% 1-2 0.82× -22.2 Top Cut
Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 145, true skill could span ±289).
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