SC_louloup at Sector Qualifier Milan

melee.gg

Sector Premier March 29, 2025 Record 4-3-0 Field 546

Rating after 1,751

-33

Rating before 1,784 RD 103

Rating after 1,751 RD 97

Effective multiplier 1.15×

Performance 1,597

Field strength Mean 1,560 · Median 1,530 · 546 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Sector tier multiplier (1.15×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Sector event adds a flat +25 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1784 → Swiss 1751 -32.5

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Jędrzej Sobota 0

Malvolio 2

Avestator 2

DosGrajos_REBELS 1

Beton 2

RaistlinMajere 1

Jadimi_TCT 0

qkieu 2

Semifinals

Malvolio 0

Avestator 2

Beton 2

qkieu 1

Finals

Avestator 2

Beton 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 -28.3 1.15× -4.2 -32.5 1751

Total 4-3-0 -32.5 1751

Toughest win Beat DieG9 1522 at 70% odds

Costliest loss Lost to Manuel Geprägs 1500 at 71% odds / surprise -0.71 /

Matches (7)

R1 Manuel Geprägs Loss 1-2 1.15× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 71% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).

R2 Alessandro Valletta Win 2-1 1.15× +7.9 Swiss

R3 Hibadino Loss 0-2 1.15× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 61% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 174, true skill could span ±347).

R4 ShockTrooper45 Win 2-1 1.15× +7.0 Swiss

R5 DaveyD Win 2-1 1.15× +11.1 Swiss

R6 DieG9 Win 2-1 1.15× +12.0 Swiss

R7 OliD Loss 1-2 1.15× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 56% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 123, true skill could span ±246).