SC_Spylk at Planetary Qualifier Paris

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Planetary Premier October 27, 2024 Record 6-2-0 Field 118
Rating after 1,964
+4
Rating before 1,960 RD 130
Rating after 1,964 RD 119
Effective multiplier 0.88× weighted avg
Performance 1,855 vs field +341
Field strength Mean 1,514 · Median 1,500 · 118 rated 95th Percentile Planetaries, 2024 Q4

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 6-1 +17.8 1.0× +0.0 +17.8 1978
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -34.7 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +6.3 -28.5 1946
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 118 +15.0 1961
Total 6-2-0 +4.3 1964
Toughest win Beat SWU_IsADeadGame_xD 1642 at 74% odds
Costliest loss Lost to Jędrzej Sobota 1500 at 83% odds / surprise -0.83 / +48 swing

Matches (8)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Datavinn Win 81% 2-0 1.0× +10.0 Swiss
R2 1378~ Othal Win 87% 2-1 1.0× +7.2 Swiss
R3 1500~ camilleTCG Loss 81% 1-2 1.0× -42.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 81% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R4 1500~ Ewird Win 81% 2-1 1.0× +10.0 Swiss
R5 1642~ SWU_IsADeadGame_xD Win 74% 2-0 1.0× +14.2 Swiss
R6 1547~ Gaabz Win 79% 2-0 1.0× +11.2 Swiss
R7 1500~ Skychapon Win 81% 2-0 1.0× +10.0 Swiss
QF 1500~ Jędrzej Sobota Loss 83% 1-2 0.82× -36.7 Top Cut
Glicko-2 predicted 83% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 181, true skill could span ±362).
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