SC_Spylk at Sector Qualifier Milan

melee.gg
Sector Premier March 29, 2025 Record 4-5-0 Field 546
Rating after 1,890
-100
Rating before 1,990 RD 103
Rating after 1,890 RD 96
Effective multiplier 1.15× weighted avg
Performance 1,552 vs field -8
Field strength Mean 1,560 · Median 1,530 · 546 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Sector tier multiplier (1.15×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Sector event adds a flat +25 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 9 matches 4-5 -87.2 1.15× -13.1 -100.2 1890
Total 4-5-0 -100.2 1890
Toughest win Beat Masta 1718 at 71% odds
Costliest loss Lost to raphael Bereau 1358 at 89% odds / surprise -0.89 / +41 swing

Matches (9)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1358~ raphael Bereau Loss 89% 1-2 1.15× -36.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 89% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 178, true skill could span ±357).
R2 1664~ Nomu Win 74% 2-1 1.15× +10.3 Swiss
R3 1718~ Masta Win 71% 2-1 1.15× +11.8 Swiss
R4 1512~ Chris Beardsmore Win 83% 2-0 1.15× +7.0 Swiss
R5 1622~ Artorias24 Win 77% 2-0 1.15× +9.3 Swiss
R6 1571~ TGB_JulioJ Loss 80% 1-2 1.15× -33.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 80% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 126, true skill could span ±253).
R7 1850 Magnetar Loss 62% 0-2 1.15× -25.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 62% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R8 1534~ Effelamen Loss 82% 1-2 1.15× -33.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 82% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 175, true skill could span ±349).
R9 1775~ MartinKvaka Loss 67% 0-2 1.15× -27.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 67% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 163, true skill could span ±326).
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