SC_Spylk at Sector Qualifier Liverpool

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Sector Premier April 05, 2025 Record 6-3-0 Field 418
Rating after 1,889
-1
Rating before 1,890 RD 96
Rating after 1,889 RD 89
Effective multiplier 1.15× weighted avg
Performance 1,876 vs field +338
Field strength Mean 1,538 · Median 1,500 · 418 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Sector tier multiplier (1.15×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Sector event adds a flat +25 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 9 matches 6-3 -1.0 1.15× -0.1 -1.1 1889
Total 6-3-0 -1.1 1889
Biggest upset Beat Good_FraserTT 1814 at 56% odds / surprise +0.44
Costliest loss Lost to rduThread 1500 at 77% odds / surprise -0.77 / +34 swing

Matches (9)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1752 Tombo Win 61% 2-0 1.15× +13.9 Swiss
R2 1664~ ChairObscuro Win 68% 2-1 1.15× +11.4 Swiss
R3 1500~ rduThread Loss 77% 1-2 1.15× -25.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 77% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R4 1814~ Good_FraserTT Win 56% 2-0 1.15× +15.6 Swiss
R5 1453~ fyero Win 81% 2-0 1.15× +6.8 Swiss
R6 1683 dzej Win 67% 2-0 1.15× +12.0 Swiss
R7 1582~ majorfussy Win 74% 2-0 1.15× +9.4 Swiss
R8 1901~ yehosera Loss 49% 1-2 1.15× -17.5 Swiss
R9 1563 Siekan Loss 75% 1-2 1.15× -27.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 75% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
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