SC_Spylk at Galactic Championship Day 2-3

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Galactic Premier July 26, 2025 Record 4-4-0 Field 564
Rating after 1,919
-34
Rating before 1,952 RD 85
Rating after 1,919 RD 81
Effective multiplier 1.5× weighted avg
Performance 1,796 vs field -12
Field strength Mean 1,808 · Median 1,799 · 565 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Galactic tier multiplier (1.5×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Galactic event adds a flat +50 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 8 matches 4-4 -22.3 1.5× -11.2 -33.5 1919
Total 4-4-0 -33.5 1919
Biggest upset Beat NoahWalker 1868 at 57% odds / surprise +0.43
Costliest loss Lost to Case Carter 1738 at 67% odds / surprise -0.67 / 1.5× / +38 swing

Matches (8)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1802 Junior64 Win 63% 2-1 1.5× +14.2 Swiss
R2 1709 Bartosz_Sobota Win 70% 2-0 1.5× +11.6 Swiss
R3 1782~ Rozendal Win 64% 2-0 1.5× +13.5 Swiss
R4 1757 LMTDA Loss 66% 1-2 1.5× -24.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 66% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R5 1805~ Bobby Colegrove Loss 62% 0-2 1.5× -23.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 62% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 121, true skill could span ±242).
R6 1868~ NoahWalker Win 57% 2-1 1.5× +16.1 Swiss
R7 1910 Xgiokid Loss 54% 0-2 1.5× -20.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 54% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R8 1738~ Case Carter Loss 67% 1-2 1.5× -25.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 67% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 120, true skill could span ±241).
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