SC_Spylk at Sector Qualifier Paris

melee.gg
Sector Limited January 31, 2026 Record 9-3-0 Field 512
Rating after 1,953
+50
Rating before 1,903 RD 121
Rating after 1,953 RD 101
Effective multiplier 1.15× weighted avg
Performance 2,061 vs field +496
Field strength Mean 1,565 · Median 1,530 · 490 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Sector tier multiplier (1.15×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Sector event adds a flat +25 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 12 matches 9-3 +43.7 1.15× +6.6 +50.3 1953
Total 9-3-0 +50.3 1953
Biggest upset Beat Gaabz 1854 at 54% odds / surprise +0.46
Costliest loss Lost to Good_FraserTT 1660 at 69% odds / surprise -0.69 / +55 swing

Matches (12)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1775~ Erasec01 Win 60% 2-1 1.15× +21.5 Swiss
R2 1455~ TGG_bull8 Win 82% 2-0 1.15× +10.2 Swiss
R3 1811~ NO_Arnaud Win 58% 2-0 1.15× +23.1 Swiss
R4 1660~ Good_FraserTT Loss 69% 0-2 1.15× -38.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 69% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 131, true skill could span ±261).
R5 1775~ Aberduc Win 60% 2-0 1.15× +21.5 Swiss
R6 1742 Firebrand Win 63% 2-1 1.15× +20.4 Swiss
R7 1854~ Gaabz Win 54% 2-0 1.15× +25.2 Swiss
R8 1742~ NXS_CheifGoose Loss 63% 0-2 1.15× -34.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 63% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 130, true skill could span ±260).
R9 1694~ Gavriel Win 67% 2-1 1.15× +18.2 Swiss
R10 1816 wales649 Loss 57% 1-2 1.15× -31.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 57% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R11 1661~ Trapper Win 69% 2-1 1.15× +17.0 Swiss
R12 1690~ Alfie Crust Win 67% 2-0 1.15× +18.1 Swiss
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