SC_Lounas at Regional Qualifier Lille

melee.gg
Regional Premier May 03, 2025 Record 5-4-0 Field 860
Rating after 1,454
+39
Rating before 1,415 RD 117
Rating after 1,454 RD 103
Effective multiplier 1.3× weighted avg
Performance 1,541 vs field -2
Field strength Mean 1,543 · Median 1,500 · 860 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 9 matches 5-4 +29.8 1.3× +8.9 +38.7 1454
Total 5-4-0 +38.7 1454
Biggest upset Beat Flo67140 1500 at 43% odds / surprise +0.57
Costliest loss Lost to O37_McDuck23 1465 at 46% odds / surprise -0.46 / +57 swing

Matches (9)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1493~ Gekelund Loss 44% 0-2 1.3× -25.0 Swiss
R2 1500~ Flo67140 Win 43% 2-1 1.3× +31.0 Swiss
R3 1775~ Lexz Loss 23% 1-2 1.3× -13.6 Swiss
R4 1298~ Johnny Poulsen Win 60% 2-1 1.3× +23.4 Swiss
R5 1465~ O37_McDuck23 Loss 46% 0-2 1.3× -26.4 Swiss
R6 1500~ Darth_Nyra Loss 43% 1-2 1.3× -23.8 Swiss
R7 1297~ Darth_Revan Win 60% 2-0 1.3× +23.6 Swiss
R8 1420~ bubulle Win 50% 2-1 1.3× +28.8 Swiss
R9 1500~ Baalli Win 43% 2-1 1.3× +31.0 Swiss
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